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Sha Tin Selections February 23rd
Posted On: February 22nd, 2020HKJC - Sha Tin Feb 23
As always, a free program and much more is available on the HKJC website.
HKJC - Sha Tin Feb 23
Race 1: 6-3-2-4
Spicy Really (6) has one thing going for him in this bottom class- he has a shorter list of bad races than the rest of these horses. He has failed to hit the board in all 8 of his starts. With that being said, he has been somewhat close, and he picks up Joao Moreira (20.4%) for the ride who takes over for Tony Piccone (8.2%).
Race 2: 7-4-10-13
Mission Smart (7) makes his 3rd start after respectable efforts just missing the board in his first two. Zac Purton (19.0%) picks up the ride from Keith Yeung (2.5%). This season when Zac Purton is not riding at 133 pounds he is winning at 20.3% (58 out of 286), whereas with top weight he is winning at just 13.6% (9 out of 66).
Race 3: 14-12-7-4
Yee Cheong Pegasus (14) has been performing well since moving to the Tony Millard (8.5%) barn from previous trainer David Hall (7.0%). I’m sure Alexis Badel (10.0%) is looking forward to another chance with this one after missing by only a nose in a trip that involved a lot of traffic last start
Race 4: 14-11-5-4
Shinealot (14) has been hovering between the edges of class 4 and class 5 in search of his first win- so far unsuccessfully having managed only a 2nd and 3rd place finish in 12 starts. Jumping back up to class 4 here and losing Zac Purton (19.0%) in exchange for Karis Teetan (10.9%) should provide some extra value on the odds board. He will carry 115 pounds over a long 2,000m route where 4 other horses are carrying the top weight of 133 pounds. He will carry 12.8 pounds less than the average of the other runners here, which makes for one of the biggest overall handicaps I have seen in Hong Kong racing. I am hopeful that handicap paired with a nice trip from Karis Teetan will be enough for him to find the winners circle.
BEST BET Race 5: 9-3-10-11
Grateful Heart (9) was a $625,000 AUS purchase as a yearling who won 2 races in Australia last year, showing some speed over 1,000m. An easy winning effort in a recent barrier trial convinced me he’s ready to win on debut.
Race 6: 7-14-12-1
Tattenhall Fortune (7) makes his 4th career start, after mediocre performance in his first 3. Vincent Ho (11.7%) is back on board, and it looks like he can be on or near the lead as long as he breaks well. I’m hoping for a slow pace here, which would require cooperation from Juneau Park (5) and Roman Impero (1) as they both look likely to leave for early position.
Race 7: 1-4-8-10
Golden Sixty (1) is undefeated this season, and has yet to have another horse finish within a length of him. He steps up to 1,800m for the first time, and that distance represents the most significant question in this race- can he handle it, and will any of the others in the race be better for it? My answer is yes, I believe he can handle the added distance, and I believe he is on another level- a true Hong Kong champion in the making.
Race 8: 6-5-2-12
Columbus County (6) was beaten half a length last outing and the 4 year old appears to be improving with each start. He stretches out another 200m to this 2,000m route today. The inside barrier draw, and Zac Purton (19.0%) in the saddle should help him to settle in covered up and off the pace by just a few lengths, perhaps a touch closer than the 4L-6L he sat in his last two races.
Race 9: 1-4-8-5
Gameplayer Times (1) is a grade 1 winner in Brazil prior to relocation to Hong Kong. He makes his debut local start here, being assigned a difficult 80 rating. His recent barrier trial was just ok against lower level competition, while travelling 4 wide around the turn. I’m going to look past that effort that many will be using to dismiss this one’s chances here, and take the value that should come with it.
Race 10: 13-4-7-8
Go Ballistic (13) makes his 6th Hong Kong start in search of his first win. He was a winner of a Maiden race in South Africa prior to relocation. With Lyle Hewitson (1.3%) in the saddle he will not get much attention here and should be long odds. It looks like this race may finally offer him some legitimate pace to chase, with Earth Trilogy (9) and Beauty Spirit (2) both likely to push out for the early lead with a few others also in the mix.
Jockey Challenge Predicted Totals
- 1st - Zac Purton- 36 points
- 2nd - Vincent Ho - 34 points
- 3rd - Joao Moreira - 32 points
Previous Selection Results Hong Kong (Overall)Jockey Challenge Winner: 3/5 (60%) $1 Win Best Bet: 1/5 (-$3.05) $1 Win Top Selections: 6/44 (-$6.00) $1 Top 4 Quinella Box: 10/44 (+$353.90)
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